Main pick: Adrian Yanez defeats Ricky Simon (dog).
Confidence: 2.5/5.
Explanation: Yanez as a dog fits in by a clear route: if he keeps the fight on his feet, with clean boxing and punishes tackles, he can win rounds and even score damage. Simon is the favorite because his plan is very stable: pressure, volume, cage and wrestling to add minutes. The dog lives if Yanez stops the first takedowns and makes Simon pay for each attempt.
Suggestions: Yanez ML in simple (stake content). If you want to play Simon, ML/Decision is usually more logical than rare props.
ML quota cut-off: Yáñez if ≥2.10–2.35.