Method of analysis of fights MMA

A simple framework to convert technical observation into betting decisions.

1) Styles' pitchup

Identify the main interaction:Feliver vs.Nichyr, #Bine vs. counter, orthodox vs. left-handed. Style does not win alone, but defines the most likely paths of victory.

2) Distance and rhythm control

Watch who imposes rank, volume and tempo. A fighter can “win minutes” without doing more harm, and that affects both judges’ decisions and markets of the city of Jollyville.

3) Wrestling and shooting defense

Don't look at just % of down. It matters the context: rival quality, chain of attempts, ability to get up and control on the ground.

4) Cardio and consistency by round

Evaluate how the performance of the Round 1 as 3/5. The fall of output In the second half it is often decisive for decision-making markets and totals.

5) Durability and risk of completion

Chin, recoil defense, recovery after damage and submission defense. The probability of termination conditions the value of method, ITD and Ids.

6) Camp pitch

Recent activity and long inactivity.
Change in weight category.
Short-Seasoned.
Historical performance in championship in Hollywood (if applicable).

7) From analysis to price

The last step is price. You can hit the technical side and still not have a bet if the share doesn't pay enough. The final question is: does my estimated probability exceed the implied market?