Main pick: Neil Magny defeats Ramiz Brahimaj (dog).
Confidence: 2.5/5.
Explanation: He is an underdog that I like more for matchup and experience than as a high-confidence pick. Brahimaj has a clear threat if he manages to close the distance and take the fight to grappling, but his performance has been much less convincing when the level of opposition increases. Magny has been facing much better fighters for years and still has enough length, cardio and experience to turn an even fight into a very uncomfortable fifteen minutes. He needs to prevent Brahimaj from easily entering his legs and take advantage of his reach to make him work from the outside before punishing him in the clinch. Magny's age and wear and tear prevent him from raising confidence, but at even odds I prefer the fighter who has shown many more times that he can adapt to this level.
Suggestions: Magny ML with small stake. Alternative: Magny by decision or over 2.5.
ML quota cut-off: It has value from 2.00; below 1.85 the margin stops compensating for its age and wear and tear.