Main pick: Marcin Tybura defeats Tyrell Fortune (dog).
Confidence: 2.5/5.
Explanation: "Heavyweight with craft" dog: if Tybura clinch, dirties the rhythm and fights for minutes, he can steal rounds or find wear and tear. Fortune is a favorite for physicality/athleticism and for being able to win the minute by minute if he keeps distance and avoids being tied down.
Suggestions: Tybura ML in single (small stake). Alternative: Over 1.5 if you expect more tactical HW.
ML quota cut: Tybura if ≥2.00–2.30; if it goes down from 1.85, it no longer compensates me.