Main pick: Josiah Harrell defeats Jacobe Smith.
Confidence: 3.5/5.
Explanation: Smith is an athlete and can be dangerous if he imposes physicality, but Harrell is usually more orderly and consistent at 15 minutes: better reading in striking, more comfortable managing distance and without giving away positions. In these fights, the one who "does not go out of plan" usually charges.
Suggestions: Harrell ML; Harrell by Decision; Over 2.5 if the line comes out reasonable.
ML Odds Cut-off: Harrell if ≥1.30-1.40; if it is too short, look for Decision.