Main pick: Asu Almabayev defeats Charles Johnson.
Confidence: 3/5.
Explanation: Johnson is awkward, resilient and with good volume, so he's not an easy favorite to get along with. Still, Almabayev has a very clear route if he can close distance, chain takedowns and turn the fight into control, scrambles and minutes of grappling. Johnson needs to keep him on his feet, touch a lot and make Asu work from afar without clean grips. I'll stick with the side that can best impose where he fights.
Suggestions: Almabayev ML. Alternative: Almabayev by Decision.
ML Odds Cut: Almabayev playable if ≥1.35–1.50.