Main pick: Tsarukyan by Decision (alternative: Over 3.5 rounds).
Confidence: 4/5.
Explanation: Arman is one of the best "minute-winners" in lightweight: takedown chains, control and rhythm. Hooker is very tough and usually survives, so the most likely script is long combat with Arman control.
ML Odds Cut-off: Tsarukyan ML only if you ≥1.25 upgrades anchors; the actual value is in Over/Decision.