Main pick: Charles Johnson defeats Alex Perez.
Confidence: 3/5.
Explanation: Reading of the market and forums clearly in his favor; at pace, Johnson scores better and defends enough to avoid long control.
Suggestions: Johnson Decision; Over 2.5 if you expect even combat.
ML Odds Cut: Johnson ML up to 1.60; if it goes up a lot, rate Perez Decision as a long dog.