Main pick: Jackson McVey defeats Wes Schultz.
Confidence: 3.5/5.
Explanation: McVey has a pretty clear route if he can impose his physicality and take the match towards wrestling and control, although Schultz is dangerous enough that the quota should not be interpreted as a guarantee. Schultz can take advantage of transitions and has options if McVey forces positions without consolidating them, so the favorite needs to work patiently. I like McVey's ability to decide where a good part of the match takes place and accumulate control if he doesn't find a finish. Still, his price tag already incorporates a lot of that advantage.
Suggestions: McVey ML for combined. Alternative: McVey by submission or ITD.
ML quota cut-off: At 1.57 it can still be used; below 1.45 it would start looking for alternative markets.