Main pick: Vicente Luque defeats Tresean Gore (dog).
Confidence: 2.5/5.
Explanation: Luque is clearly in the final stretch of his career and his durability no longer allows him to be trusted as he was a few years ago, but I still think that the market is giving Gore too much credit. The difference in experience and level of opposition is huge and Luque still has more resources to solve different situations. Gore is younger, physical and explosive and can do a lot of damage if he manages to turn the fight into an open battle, so Luque should not accept unnecessary exchanges. The Brazilian's grappling can be especially important: he can work from the clinch, attack the neck during transitions and take advantage of mistakes by a less experienced opponent. It's not a safe pick, but at the price of an underdog I see enough routes to give him the victory.
Suggestions: Luque ML with small stake. Alternative: Luque by submission.
ML quota cut-off: It has value from 2.00; below 1.85 I would prefer to pass due to Luque's accumulated wear and tear.