Main pick: Uros Medic defeats Daniel Rodriguez.
Confidence: 4/5.
Explanation: Medic arrives with a clear advantage in speed, explosiveness and ability to produce damage from the first exchange. His straight punches as a southpaw, the kicks to the body and the power when he finds the gap between the guard can punish a Rodriguez who usually accepts too much contact to impose his volume. The American is resilient, knows how to compete under pressure and has experience in long fights, so the big test for Medic will be to manage his energy for five rounds if he does not get an early finish. Rodriguez can narrow the fight by advancing behind the jab, attacking the body and forcing the Serbian to work in recoil, but his defensive speed and accumulated wear increase the risk of receiving the most forceful blow. Medic should dominate as long as he maintains the medium distance and does not rush looking for the knockout.
Suggestions: Medic ML for short combination only. Alternative: Medic by KO/TKO or Medic in the first three rounds. The under 2.5 is interesting, although Rodriguez retains considerable durability.
ML Odds Cut: You wouldn't play your ML in single below 1.30; from 1.35 it starts to become more reasonable.