Main: Umar Nurmagomedov defeats Deiveson Figueiredo.
Trust: 4/5.
Explanation: Footwork + tickets on time + control; Figueiredo keeps danger in guillotine and hand, but Umar “win minutes” with consistency.
Suggestions: Umar by Decision; Over 2.5 as anchor.
ML quota cut: Umar ML up to 1.35; if you lower more, prefer Decision.