Main pick: Ty Miller defeats Billy Goff.
Confidence: 3.5/5.
Explanation: Miller can take advantage of his length, speed, and power advantage to intercept Goff's constant pressure. The underdog advances with a lot of volume, punishes the body well, and can turn the fight into an uncomfortable fight if he manages to pin Miller against the cage, but that aggressiveness also causes him to take clean punches during the innings. Miller must lean on the jab, move laterally, and avoid backing up in a straight line. Straight punches and opportunistic takedowns can slow down Goff's pace and force him to rebuild his attacks. The main question arises if Miller fails to command respect with his power and ends up forced to fight for three rounds at a high pace.
Suggestions: Miller ML for short combined. Alternative: Miller by KO/TKO or decision. He would not play the handicap if he requires clear dominance of all rounds.
ML Odds Cut: You wouldn't play your individual ML below 1.35; from 1.40 would be more reasonably priced.