Main pick: Thiago Moises defeats Gauge Young (dog).
Confidence: 2.5/5.
Explanation: At dog rate, Moises is playable because his route is very clear: take him to grappling, force control and punish in transitions (especially if the opponent accelerates). Young is a favorite for pace/consistency, but if Moises manages to hook legs/clinch early, he can turn it into a fight of minutes.
Suggestions: Moises ML (small stake). Alternative: Moises by Sub if there is a good return.
ML Quota Cut-off: Moises if ≥2.20–2.50.