Pick principal: Renato Moicano beats Chris Duncan (dog).
Trust: 3/5.
Explanation: Here the dog has clear route: Moicano is the type of fighter that can change phases, grab your back, add control and turn an uncomfortable combat into “minutes”. Duncan is preferred by physic/rhythm and for being able to win the exchange if it keeps the fight where it suits you best. At high stake, I am interested in the side that has more roads of victory by grappling/control.
Suggestions: Moicano ML in simple. Alternative: Moicano by submission if the market pays it well.
Quota cut ML: Moicano whether ≥2.20–2.60; if it falls below 2.00, It's not so attractive anymore.