Main pick: Rei Tsuruya defeats Luis Gurule.
Confidence: 3.5/5.
Explanation: Tsuruya is the most reliable side if he imposes grappling and control: takedowns, back takes and minutes up. Gurule needs to stop the first holds and force a more standing fight, where he can mark damage and rhythm.
Suggestions: Tsuruya ML. Alternate: Tsuruya by Decision if you expect control rather than completion.
ML Odds Cut: Correct for combining; in simple only if it doesn't sink too much.