Pick principal: Rafa Garcia beats Rong Zhu (dog).
Trust: 2.5/5.
Explanation: Rong is younger, longer and has a striking more fluid, but the quota 2.40 of Garcia I think it's high enough for your experience, pressure and ability to turn the fight into grappling. Rafa need to reduce space from the beginning, avoid chasing Chinese in open field and make each exchange end up in clinch or threat of takedown Rong He gets to keep it out and work with volume should be favorite, but Garcia can steal many minutes by pressure and control and has a perfectly identifiable route to win two rounds.
Suggestions: Garcia ML with stake small: Garcia by decision.
Quota cut ML: It's got value from 2.30; below 2.10 I'd start losing interest.