Main pick: Milos Janicic defeats Noah Gugnon (dog).
Confidence: 2.5/5.
Explanation: It's one of the closest bouts on the card. Gugnon may be the fastest fighter in early rallies and threatens with power when he finds room to accelerate, but Janicic offers pressure, toughness, and a greater willingness to keep up the fight. The Montenegrin can make the Frenchman's job difficult by attacking the body, closing the cage, and mixing punches with clinch instead of chasing him in the open field. The pick's risk is that Janicic will receive too much as he advances and concede the first round before imposing attrition. If he manages to overcome Gugnon's initial explosiveness, his pace and ability to maintain the initiative can give him two close rounds.
Suggestions: Janicic ML with small stake. Alternative: Janicic by decision. It is not a suitable fight for accumulators.
ML quota cut-off: It has value from 1.95; below 1.80 would prefer to pass.