Pick principal: Joo Sang Yoo beats Michael Aswell.
Trust: 3.5/5.
Explanation: Aswell is dangerous and aggressive enough to punish if Yoo takes too long to settle down, but Korean seems to have a significant advantage in speed, precision and ability to select exchanges. Yoo should avoid staying static and allow Aswell turn the fight into a battle fisica. If you control the distance, combine straight kicks with kicks and force the American to pursue it, it should produce the cleanest shares. The price already reflects much of that advantage, so I don’t consider it a particularly attractive bet in simple.
Suggestions: Yoo ML for combination: Yoo by decision or KO/TKO.
Quota cut ML: A 1.38 is usable in combination; as simple it would need to approach 1.50.