Pick principal: Kyoji Horiguchi beats Manel Kape (dog).
Trust: 2.5/5.
Explanation: Kape has more explosiveness, more damage per action and is very well established in UFC, but Horiguchi is the type of underdog you can't treat like a normal dog: huge experience, reading distance, very clean inputs and outputs and ability to mix fight without becoming predictable. The first fight between the two already taught that Horiguchi can punish errors of Kape If this one accelerates 5 rounds, yes Kyoji does not stand in the power line and manages to introduce punctual level changes, can steal minutes and dirty the rhythm of the favorite.
Suggestions: Horiguchi ML with stake Low. Alternative: Horiguchi by decision or sub if the market pays well.
Quota cut ML: Horiguchi whether ≥2.25–2.50; if you are 2.10, loses part of the value.