Pick principal: Liu Ce beats Levi Rodrigues Jr.
Trust: 3/5.
Explanation: Both arrive with very little professional experience in MMA, So I wouldn't buy the favoritism of Liu as if he were a fighting man already in the court. What he does have is a very superior Men's Tackling and he should clearly be the most comfortable man as long as the fight stands. Rodrigues needs to complicate that reading by entering the clinch, mixing downs and avoiding a technical duel from a distance. Liu should use their kicks, control the center and force the Brazilian to enter from too far. The limited sample of both greatly reduces confidence, but the technical advantage in striking makes me bow down to the Chinese.
Suggestions: Liu ML with stake moderate-low. Alternative: Liu by KO/TKO.
Quota cut ML: Makes sense around 1.50; below 1.40 I wouldn't pay that price with so little experience MMA.