Main pick: Carlos Prates defeats Jack Della Maddalena (dog).
Confidence: 2.5/5.
Explanation: If we talk about the underdog side with real routes, Prates fits. He has punch, timing and the ability to change the fight with a single moment. Della Maddalena is more complete and can mix something more, but the value of the crossover is on the dog's side: if Prates imposes distance, punishes in exchanges and prevents JDM from setting the pace too comfortably, his quota is attractive. In a fine striking fight, the underdog with power and recent confidence is a totally valid reading.
Suggestions: Prates ML (low stake). Alternative: Prates by KO/TKO if the odds are accompanying.
ML Odds Cut: Prates playable if ≥1.80–2.00; if it falls too much, it loses value.