Main pick: Ikram Aliskerov defeats Brunno Ferreira.
Confidence: 3.5/5.
Explanation: Ferreira has real power and is dangerous if the fight stays in an open exchange, but Aliskerov is more complete and has more paths: solid striking, physical control and ability to mix grappling if he needs to lower the variance. The key is not to accept a pure pocket fight against Brunno. If Ikram fights disciplined, controls the center and changes phases, he should prevail.
Suggestions: Aliskerov ML. Alternative: Aliskerov ITD if the odds are better than the ML.
ML Odds Cut: Aliskerov playable if ≥1.30–1.45.