Main pick: Belal by Decision (dog).
Confidence: 4/5.
Explanation: Pressure, clinch and takedown threats; elite cardio and top experience. Garry is fine in the long run, but recent finish rate drops and suffers when the cage is closed. In long rounds, Belal adds minutes.
ML Odds Cut: Play Belal if ≥2.60 (ideal ≥3.00). If it goes below 2.40, prefer prop Decision.