Pick principal: Gable Steveson beats Elisha Ellison.
Trust: 4.5/5.
Explanation: Extremely short quota because the script is very clear: Steveson should impose physical, wrestling and control from the start. Ellison needs a very concrete scenario to compete: avoid knocking down, punish tickets and make that Gable without a strong sign of the favourite's fragility, this is not a spot to look for surprise.
Suggestions: Steveson ML Just as an anchor ITD/KO/sub if the market offers something jugable.
Quota cut ML: Avoid simple if <1.08.