Main pick: Francis Marshall defeats Lucas Brennan.
Confidence: 4/5.
Explanation: Big favorite: He should impose rhythm and win rounds without depending on an action. Brennan needs to lengthen, complicate with phase changes or take advantage of a mistake by the favorite.
Suggestions: Marshall ML as a strong leg. If the ML does not compensate, look at Decision/Over if it exists.
ML Odds Cut: Avoid simple if <1.20; best short combined.