Main pick: Damien Anderson defeats Ezra Elliott.
Confidence: 2.5/5.
Explanation: Both are undefeated and the market is keeping the fight relatively close. Elliott has a longer professional record, but Anderson seems to have better tools to impose intensity, physicality and pressure from the start. The lack of experience of both in the face of opposition makes UFC the analysis one of the least reliable on the card. Anderson wins by forcing exchanges, working the clinch and avoiding a slow fight in which Elliott can read him and manage the distance.
Suggestions: Anderson ML with low stake. It's a reasonable fight to leave out of combines.
ML quota cut: Anderson has interest from 1.70; if he goes below 1.60, the risk of two undefeated debutants does not compensate.