Main pick: Delphine Benouaich defeats Sofia Montenegro.
Confidence: 3/5.
Explanation: Benouaich starts with a market advantage and I lean towards her, although Montenegro is 2.20 close enough not to treat her as a strong favorite. The Frenchwoman should try to impose pressure, volume and take advantage of local support without rushing for big exchanges. Montenegro can do damage if she can get Benouaich into the fight predictably and has tools to keep the fight competitive during the three rounds. The advantage exists, but it is one of those fights where the price forces you to maintain a moderate stake.
Suggestions: Benouaich ML with moderate-low stake. Alternative: Benouaich by decision.
ML quota cut-off: A 1.68 has interest; below 1.55 would prefer to pass.