Main pick: Abdul Hussein defeats Cody Gibson.
Confidence: 3.5/5.
Explanation: Hussein is younger, more compact and explosive, and his ability to string together takedowns and attack submissions can force Gibson to defend for long periods. The American veteran has a clear advantage in UFC experience, knows how to work high-tempo fights, and can complicate the fight if he survives the first few grappling sequences and gets Hussein to expend energy. Gibson also has the resources to get up and produce volume on his feet, so the odds of the favorite seem somewhat demanding. The most likely route is through Hussein closing the distance, dominating exchanges against the cage and finding control positions or the back. He will need to avoid looking for a finish in a hasty manner, as Gibson tends to stay competitive even in physical and messy fights.
Suggestions: Hussein ML only for short combined. Alternative: Hussein by submission. At too low odds it is also reasonable to pass.
ML Odds Cut-off: You would not play your ML on single below 1.30; for short accumulator it is acceptable up to about 1.25.