Pick principal: Bo Nickal beats Kyle Daukaus.
Trust: 3.5/5.
Explanation: The basic script is clear: yes Nickal enforces the fight early, gains time, positions and probably finds completion or a comfortable decision. Daukaus you have options if you can keep it at a distance and make it pay for each entry, or if you survive the first shoots and turn this into a longer reading fight. Still, so, the most repeatable side is usually the one you can decide where you fight.
Suggestions: Nickal ML as anchor. Alternative: Nickal by Sub/ITD if the price compensates for a ML short.
Quota cut ML: Avoid simple if <1.25; better combine or prop.