Main pick: Bekzat Almakhan defeats Jean Matsumoto (dog).
Confidence: 2.5/5.
Explanation: This change makes sense because of the price and because of Bekzat's real danger. Matsumoto is more complete and more stable round by round, but Almakhan has explosiveness, fast hands and the ability to change the fight if he finds the timing in the first exchanges. For the dog to cash in he needs a more open fight, with a high pace and less technical control by Matsumoto. If Jean stabilizes, mixes phases and lowers the revs, the pick suffers; but at the underdog rate, Bekzat's upside is enough to play it.
Suggestions: Almakhan ML with low stake. Alternative: Almakhan KO/TKO if there is a good odd.
ML Quota Cut-off: Playable Almakhan if ≥2.20–2.50.