Main pick: Azamat Murzakanov defeats Paulo Costa.
Confidence: 3/5.
Explanation: Costa needs the fight to be his: pressure and exchange. Murzakanov is usually more efficient if he maintains order and does not stand up. If Azamat scores first and forces Costa to chase, he can add rounds.
Suggestions: Murzakanov ML; alternative: Over 1.5 if you expect a tactical start.
ML Odds Cut-off: ML if ≥1.45–1.55; if it goes too low, look for Decision/Over.