Main pick: Jean Silva defeats Arnold Allen.
Confidence: 3/5.
Explanation: Moment and punch in favor; community and tipsters lean strongly towards Silva. Allen brings IQ and mix, but returns after a long break.
Suggestions: Silva KO/TKO if ≥2.50; if you support Allen, better Allen Decision at odds plus.
ML quota cut: Silva ML if ≥1.80; if <1.70 falls, look for KO/ITD.