Pick principal: Cody Haddon beats Aori Qileng.
Trust: 4/5.
Explanation: Clear Favorite: The basic script is Haddon winning the minute by minute with more consistency and fewer mistakes. Aori has the upset if it turns this into a messy fight and finds a big hit, but the “normal” scenario favors the short side.
Suggestions: Haddon ML as anchor. If there is “no decision” at a good price, it can be alternative.
Quota cut ML: Avoid simple if too compressed; better combine.