Pick principal: Alexander Poppeck beats Jesús Samuel Chavarría.
Trust: 3/5.
Explanation: Superior experience (extended German trey) and more polished boxing; Chavarría is undefeated and dangerous, but jumps to a veteran with good jab and remote control ≈85% a Poppeck.
Suggestions: Poppeck by Decision or KO late according to quota; Over 1.5 if you expect reading in R1.
Quota cut ML: Poppeck ML Yes ≥1.60; Decision ≥2.30. [Tapology/Sher]