Pick principal: Ramazan Temirov beats Steve Erceg.
Trust: 3/5.
Explanation: Temirov can impose a much more uncomfortable pressure than reflects a fight practically matched in odds. Its speed to close the distance, the power of its combinations and its willingness to attack from the first minute can punish the tendency of Erceg to give clean blows when still reading the fight. The Australian has more resources in grappling and a better ability to vary the plan, but it must stop the explosive inflows of Temirov and avoid standing by the cage. The main doubt of the pick appears if the combat overcomes the first round at a high rate, because Erceg you can start finding backlashes, downs and transitions, Temirov has tools to produce the most obvious damage and take at least two rounds by pressure and glued.
Suggestions: Temirov ML with stake Alternative: Temirov by KO/TKO with small exposure. It would not increase the investment too much because of the technical advantages of Erceg If the fight is prolonga.
Quota cut ML: It's got value from 1.90; below 1.75 The fight is too close to hold the bet.