Pick principal: Navajo Stirling beats Bruno Lopes.
Trust: 4.5/5.
Explanation: Very large favorite: the short side usually has a clear advantage and a repeatable script. Lopes You need a very specific script (early big moment) to break it.
Suggestions: Stirling only as anchor; if there is ITD/KO a decent quota, usually better than a ML So low.
Quota cut ML: Avoid simple if <1.20; best short prop/combined.