Pick principal: Vinicius Oliveira beats Mario Bautista.
Trust: 2.5/5.
Explanation: “Sniper” in long with very fast hands and real power; yes Bautista does not mix wrestling in a sustained way and gives him distance in half-long, the counter/right cross of Vinicius risk: if Mario chain TD+control, the winning minute is yours.
Suggestions: Oliveira KO/TKO; “It does not reach a decision” as a less dependent sideway.
Quota cut ML: Play Oliveira Yes ≥2.60 (ideal ≥3.00). If you go down from 2.40, prioritize KO ≥3.00.