Pick principal: Mantas Kondratavicius beats Antonio Trocoli.
Trust: 4.5/5.
Explanation: Very big favorite. In these spots, the right thing is not to overthink: the short side is usually the most consistent and with more ways to win. Trocoli You need a very specific script to break it.
Suggestions: ML as anchor. Find prop if the ML does not compensate.
Quota cut ML: Avoid simple if <1.15; best short prop/combined.