Pick principal: Malcolm Wellmaker beats Juan Diaz.
Trust: 4/5.
Explanation: Clear favor for consistency and a repeatable script: rhythm, initiative and less dependence on a single stroke. Diaz needs a very concrete scenario (early big moment or broken fight) for the upset I have options Wellmaker fight ordered and don't rush, should meet.
Suggestions: Wellmaker ML as anchor; if there is a completion market/ITD at a good return, it can improve the value.
Quota cut ML: Avoid simple if <1.25; better combine or search for prop.