Pick principal: Ding Meng beats Cam Nelson.
Trust: 2.5/5.
Explanation: It is one of the most difficult fights to value. Ding has a huge advantage of professional experience, but its first appearance UFC offered no reason to treat him as a particularly reliable favorite. Nelson comes with much less experience, but also with less wear and progression margin. Ding I should try to turn combat into a constant fight, take advantage of their trade and avoid explosive exchanges in which the Canadian can compensate for the difference of experience with physicists. Favoritism is light and so I interpret it: I see Ding something more likely, but not enough to make it a major bet.
Suggestions: Ding ML with stake Do not use it in conservative combination.
Quota cut ML: It has interest around 1.65-1.70; below 1.55 I'd rather not bet.