Main: Marcio Barbosa beats Dennis Buzukja.
Trust: 4/5.
Explanation: Large, well-written favorite: rhythm and consistency. Buzukja needs a very specific script to break it (big moment or rare fight). In this range, it is normal for the short side to fulfill.
Suggestions: Barbosa ML as anchor; if there is ITD/KO at best return, usually better than ML.
ML quota cut: Avoid simple if <1.25; better combine or prop.