Main: Jose Ochoa beat Clayton Carpenter.
Trust: 3/5.
Explanation: Ochoa is moderate favorite: wins if he maintains structure and does not let Carpenter turn the fight into long control. Carpenter has his way if he imposes physical rhythm and clinch/floor for adding minutes.
Suggestions: Ochoa ML. Over 1.5 It can make sense if you wait for a fight to be worked.
ML quota cut: Ochoa if ≥1.45–1.60.