Pick principal: Chidi Njokuani beats Carlos Leal.
Trust: 2.5/5.
Explanation: Chidi is dangerous in distance (pins/knocks), but when pressed and forced to work on his back or in exchanges shorter, lowers its consistency. Leal, if you put intelligent pressure and don’t go into the knee online, you have more options for “minutage” and breaking the rhythm.
Suggestions: Chidi Njokuani ML; Over 1.5 to cover prudent start.
Quota cut ML: Leal Yes ≥1.65-1.80; If you're going to have a very short favorite, you don't deserve to force.