Main: Ben Johnston beats Wes Schultz.
Trust: 3/5.
Explanation: Moderate favorite. Johnston is the most stable side if he maintains structure and does not get into it back and forth. Schultz has options if he forces high pace and wins key exchanges.
Suggestions: Johnston ML; if you think very 50/50, pass.
ML quota cut: Johnston yes ≥1.60–1.80.