Main: Beatriz Mesquita defeats Melissa Mullins.
Trust: 4/5.
Explanation: Mesquita has a very clear route: close distance, take the fight to the ground and work from dominant positions. Mullins needs to keep her standing and make her pay for each entrance, but if he grants clinch Or early, combat can change very quickly. By specialty and control ability, the favorite side has a very repeatable script.
Suggestions: ML Mesquita as anchor. Alternative: Mesquita by Sub/ITD.
ML quota cut: Avoid simple if <1.20; best prop or combination.